Clockwise from top: Liberal Leader Bonnie Crombie, Progressive Conservative Leader Doug Ford, Green Party Leader Mike Schreiner, NDP Leader Marit Stiles.
Clockwise from top: Liberal Leader Bonnie Crombie, Progressive Conservative Leader Doug Ford, Green Party Leader Mike Schreiner, NDP Leader Marit Stiles.
With the Ontario election campaign underway, the Star has a poll tracker so you can followÌýall the twists and turns ahead of election day on Feb. 27.
We’ve got the numbers from the top pollsters in one place, with handy charts, and a rolling, last-four-poll average of all the results.
Doug Ford’s Progressive Conservatives are well ahead of the second-place Liberals with just one day to go before Ontarians head to the polls.
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In Ontario’s last election, in 2022, Ford’s PCs took 40.8 per cent of the popular vote across the province, with the Liberals earning 23.9 per cent and the NDP taking 23.7 per cent. That led Ford to his second straight majority government, with 83 seats. Despite finishing narrowly behind the Liberals in the popular vote, the NDP took 31 seats and the Liberals just eight.
The Star is compiling polling for the 2025 Ontario election from polling firms that received a grade of A or A+ from . 338Canada is an independent media organization that created a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history, and demographic data.
These polling firms use a variety of polling methods, including online surveys and Smart Interactive Voice Response (IVR) systems. As online polls cannot be assigned a margin of error, margins listed here are for a comparable random sample of this size.
Percentage breakdowns are shares of committed or leaning voters, in line with industry conventions.
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