PARIS (AP) 鈥 Another prime minister gone. Another crisis unfolding. In France, what once shocked is now routine.
Prime Minister Fran莽ois Bayrou submitted his resignation Tuesday after losing a crushing confidence vote in parliament. The third in 14 months leaves President Emmanuel Macron scrambling for a successor and a nation caught in a cycle of collapse.
Bayrou, 74, lasted just nine months in office. Even that was three times longer than his predecessor.
He gambled on a budget demanding over 鈧40 billion in savings. The plan froze welfare, cut civil-service jobs, and even scrapped two public holidays that many French see as part of their national rhythm.
Bayrou warned that without action the national debt, which is now 114% of GDP, would bring 鈥渄omination by creditors鈥 as surely as by foreign powers.
Instead, he united his enemies. The and a left-wing alliance voted him down, 364 to 194. Polls showed most French wanted him gone. By the time lawmakers cast their ballots, Bayrou already had invited allies to a farewell drink.
Macron appears boxed in
The president has promised to name a new prime minister 鈥渋n the coming days.鈥 It will be his fourth in under two years.
There are several possible replacements: Defense Minister S茅bastien Lecornu, Justice Minister G茅rald Darmanin, former Socialist premier Bernard Cazeneuve and Finance Minister Eric Lombard.
The problem is not the personnel, though, it is the arithmetic.
Since Macron鈥檚 snap election in 2024, parliament has been split into three rival blocs: far left, centrists, and far right. None commands a majority. France has no tradition of coalition-building and every budget becomes a battle.
Macron has ruled out another election for now. Le Pen insists he must call one. Opinion polls suggest her National Rally would cement its lead if he did. With just 18 months left in his presidency and his approval rating at 15%, the risk for Macron is existential.
Anger rising in the streets
On Monday night, about 11,000 demonstrators feted Bayrou’s ouster outside town halls in鈥淏ye Bye Bayrou鈥 farewell drinks.
Some came for celebration. Many stayed to organize.
Wednesday has been declared a day of action under the slogan 鈥淏lock Everything.鈥 Protesters plan to shut fuel depots, highways, and city centers. The government is deploying 80,000 police.
France has seen mass uprisings before: pensions in 2023, . But this time the anger runs deeper. It is not just about one reform. It is about austerity, inequality and the sense that governments keep collapsing while nothing changes.
The budget presents a trap
The numbers are stark. France鈥檚 deficit stands at nearly 6% of GDP, which is about 鈧198 billion. EU rules demand it be cut below 3%.
Bayrou鈥檚 cure was cuts that fell on workers and retirees. Voters saw this as unfair. After years of tax breaks for corporations and the wealthy, patience has snapped. Polls show an overwhelming majority of French people want higher taxes on the ultra-rich.
Earlier this year, the lower house passed a rich tax 鈥 a 2% levy on fortunes above 鈧100 million. It would have hit fewer than 2,000 households but raised 鈧25 billion annually. Yet Macron鈥檚 pro-business allies, historically wary of scaring off investment, killed it in the Senate.
Bayrou pressed on with cuts that hit the working and middle classes the most.
For many, the contrast was glaring: austerity for millions, protection for billionaires.
President is under pressure
Macron鈥檚 room to maneuver is shrinking. A loyal centrist premier may survive only months. A Socialist might insist on wealth taxes Macron refuses. New elections could hand Le Pen even greater power.
Le Pen, convicted of embezzlement and barred from office for five years, is appealing her sentence from January. In the meantime, she promotes as a ready prime minister. The prospect is one Macron dreads.
Abroad, Macron seeks to project French influence in Ukraine and Gaza. At home, he looks cornered. Even whispers of resignation can be heard, though his departure is unlikely.
History is repeating itself
Four prime ministers in 16 months. A debt crisis grinding the economy. A nation paralyzed by political deadlock. It sounds like France today. In fact, it was France after World War II.
Out of that paralysis, Charles de Gaulle built the Fifth Republic, a system meant to banish such chaos forever. Seven decades later, the republic he forged to ward off collapse is confronting the very crisis it was designed to prevent.
Politics is now fractured into three camps. With no tradition of compromise, unlike Germany or Italy, the result is stalemate.
鈥淭he question posed now is that of the survival of our political system,” political analyst Alain Duhamel told the newspaper Le Monde. “In 1958 there was an alternative in the form of de Gaulle. Like him or detest him, he unquestionably had a project.鈥
Why it matters
France is the eurozone鈥檚 second-largest economy, its only nuclear power and a permanent United Nations Security Council member. Prolonged instability in the country reverberates far beyond its borders.
France’s political difficulty weakens Europe鈥檚 hand against Russia. It rattles investors and undermines the credibility of EU fiscal rules.
At home, it chips away at trust in the state itself. France鈥檚 welfare system 鈥 pensions, health care, education 鈥 is not just policy. It is identity. Each attempt to trim the structure feels like an assault on the model of solidarity that defines modern France.
The road ahead is not routine
Macron鈥檚 next appointment will test whether the Fifth Republic can still deliver stability. Whoever takes the job will face the same trap that consumed Bayrou: pass a budget in a parliament that cannot agree.
Gabriel Attal, a former premier from Macron鈥檚 camp, calls the cycle of collapse 鈥渁n absolutely distressing spectacle鈥 and proposes installing a political mediator to help forge a strong coalition. His warning is blunt: France cannot keep toppling governments every few months.
De Gaulle built the republic to end the chaos of the 1950s. Now, as protesters prepare to blockade the nation, many fear even that safeguard is failing.
France waits for a name, a budget, a way forward. For proof that order can still rise from drift and collapse is not the new routine.
___
Associated Press journalist Masha Macpherson contributed to this report.
