Don鈥檛 expect any mention of U.S. President Donald Trump, but rest assured: Trump most likely will be paying attention.
King Charles will deliver the speech from the throne to open Canada’s Parliament on May 27, becoming the first monarch to do so since Queen Elizabeth II in 1977. He comes at the invitation of Prime Minister Mark Carney, and at a time of immense turmoil in Canada鈥檚 relationship with the U.S.
Indeed, more than anything else, Charles鈥 speech will be a nod to Canadian sovereignty and a repudiation, in a way, of Trump鈥檚 51st state rhetoric.
鈥淐arney is sending an important signal to Canadians, but also south of the border,鈥 said Mariel Grant, a history professor at the University of Victoria who studies the British monarchy. 鈥淗aving the king come 鈥 actually highlights of course the fact that we are an independent sovereign state, and our head of state is the king.鈥
Here are five things the experts are watching for as Charles makes his first visit to Canada as king.
Don鈥檛 expect Charles to say anything about Trump鈥
As much as the subtext of Charles鈥 visit will be all about Trump, he won鈥檛 actually say anything about the president. That鈥檚 because the speech is written by cabinet and Charles, as head of state, won鈥檛 wade into the political fray.
鈥淭hat would be an explicit political statement and the sovereign cannot do anything like that鈥 unless given the direct permission of the prime minister, said Justin Vovk, an instructor at McMaster University who researches royal history.
Charles also has commitments to 14 other commonwealth realms, including Great Britain, where Prime Minister Keir Starmer recently negotiated a deal with Trump to avoid tariffs. In opening Canadian Parliament and acting as king of Canada, Charles must also walk a tightrope and not throw any of his other realms under the bus.
If he did, Vovk said, 鈥渋t would be disastrous.鈥
鈥 but expect Trump to say something about Charles
As much as Trump is 鈥渧ery difficult to predict,鈥 royal historian and author Carolyn Harris said, Vovk expects the president to say something about the visit.
鈥淭here鈥檚 no way for this visit to happen without it eliciting some sort of response from Washington,鈥 Vovk said.
But exactly what Trump will say is an open question. He鈥檚 鈥渄eeply reverential of the British monarchy,鈥 Vovk said, and has recently spoken positively of Carney following the prime minister鈥檚 visit to the White House.
How will Canada react?
Canadians don鈥檛 often spend time thinking about the monarchy鈥檚 role in government here, Harris said, and visits by royalty often spark wider debates about Canada鈥檚 political system and identity.
That seems to be part of Carney’s goal in inviting Charles here, but Harris will be watching to see how the conversation unfolds now, with tensions between Canada and the U.S. elevated.
鈥淚t will be interesting to see how this political moment that we鈥檙e in intersects with wider debates and discussions around the future of the monarchy in Canada,鈥 Harris said.
How will the world react?
Likewise, the experts will be watching to see how the rest of the world reacts. The message 鈥渢hat we are stressing our independence鈥 won鈥檛 be lost on Canada鈥檚 allies, Grant said.
In a way, the visit will be similar to Denmark鈥檚 king recently visiting Greenland, which Trump has likewise threatened with annexation, and NATO鈥檚 secretary general visiting Ukraine.
鈥淭hese kinds of 鈥 public relations events are important symbolically,鈥 Grant said. 鈥淚t鈥檚 gonna get attention. I think that鈥檚 part of the reason they鈥檙e doing it.鈥
What Charles is wearing will matter
A surprising amount of attention may be paid to Charles鈥 wardrobe, because it too can send a message.
Charles made a 鈥渉uge statement鈥 when he recently wore a British naval uniform adorned with Canadian medals and insignia, Vovk said. He expects Charles and Queen Camilla to be wearing Canadian regalia this time around, too.
Grant expects it to be some sort of military uniform and doubts he鈥檒l be wearing the crown and robe he wears when he opens British Parliament.
Whatever the regalia, Grant said, the message it sends is the point of the visit.
鈥淭here is absolutely no constitutional necessity for Charles to come and do this,鈥 she explained. 鈥淭he fact that the government wants him to do it, the fact that he鈥檚 agreed to do it, is what matters 鈥 because it is sending a message.鈥
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